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USDA anticipating rise in winter wheat crop

The USDA sees a larger winter wheat crop in 2024.

The projected crop of 1.278 billion bushels is 2% above 2023, following increased acreage totals, significantly improved crop weather in some key growing areas, and a slightly higher average yield, up 0.1 bushel per acre to 50.7.

The harvested area total of 25.198 million acres is 74% of the planted area, above last year’s 24.683 million acres, but still the fourth lowest since 1951, including all-time lows in Michigan and Virginia.

By class, the hard red winter crop, mostly grown in the Plains, is expected to be up 17% on the year at 705.371 million bushels, while soft red winter, primarily in the eastern Midwest and Delta, could fall 23% to 343.640 million bushels. Combined white winter wheat production is pegged at 228.684 million bushels, a jump of 16% from last year.

The USDA’s next round of supply, demand, and production numbers is out June 12th.

Comparisons for Brownfield states:

Arkansas: 3.75 million bushels, compared to 9.405 million in 2023; Yield: 50 bushels per acre, compared to 57 a year ago; Harvested Area: 75,000 acres, compared to 165,000 last year

Illinois: 56.44 million bushels, compared to 67.86 million in 2023; Yield: 83 bushels per acre, compared to 87 a year ago; Harvested Area: 680,000 acres, compared to 780,000 last year

Indiana: 20.16 million bushels, compared to 30.82 million in 2023; Yield: 84 bushels per acre, compared to 92 a year ago; Harvested Area: 240,000 acres, compared to 335,000 last year

Kansas: TOP: 267.9 million bushels, compared to 201.25 million in 2023; Yield: 38 bushels per acre, compared to 35 a year ago; Harvested Area: 7.05 million acres, compared to 5.75 million last year

Kentucky: 30.71 million bushels, compared to 40.48 million in 2023; Yield: 83 bushels per acre, compared to 88 a year ago; Harvested Area: 370,000 acres, compared to 460,000 last year

Michigan: 32.3 million bushels, compared to 46.48 million in 2023; Yield: 85 bushels per acre, compared to 83 a year ago; Harvested Area: Record Low 380,000 acres, compared to 560,000 last year

Missouri: 33.5 million bushels, compared to 42 million in 2023; Yield: 67 bushels per acre, compared to 70 a year ago; Harvested Area: 500,000 acres, compared to 600,000 last year

Nebraska: 39.95 million bushels, compared to 36.96 million in 2023; Yield: 47 bushels per acre, compared to 42 a year ago; Harvested Area: 850,000 acres, compared to 880,000 last year

Ohio: 37.8 million bushels, 53.1 million in 2023; Yield: 84 bushels per acre, compared to 90 a year ago; Harvested Area: 450,000 acres, compared to 590,000 last year

South Dakota: 40.56 million bushels, compared to 32.9 million in 2023; Yield: 52 bushels per acre, compared to 47 a year ago; Harvested Area: 780,000 acres, compared to 700,000 last year

Tennessee: 24.8 million bushels, compared to 31.2 million in 2023; Yield: 80 bushels per acre, unchanged from a year ago; Harvested Area: 310,000 acres, compared to 390,000 last year

Wisconsin: 15.6 million bushels, compared to 17.48 million in 2023; Yield: 78 bushels per acre, compared to 76 a year ago; Harvested Area: 200,000 acres, compared to 230,000 last year

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