News

USDA projects larger winter wheat crop

2025 U.S. winter wheat production is expected to be up 2% from 2024.

The USDA currently has the crop at 1.382 billion bushels, with a year-to-year improvement in yield to 53.7 bushels per acre expected to cancel out a slight decline in harvested area to 25.718 million acres.

That total includes a 2% gain for hard red winter wheat at 784.268 million bushels, a 1% increase for soft red winter to 344.673 million bushels, and a 7% rise for white winter wheat at a combined 252.669 million bushels.

In 2024, winter wheat production was 1.349 billion bushels with an average yield of 51.7 bushels per acre and harvested area of 26.103 million acres. By class, 2024 hard red winter production was 770.439 million bushels, with soft red winter at 342.439 million and white winter at 236.052 million bushels.

The USDA’s national winter wheat crop condition rating is above a year ago and early development is ahead of the five-year average.

The USDA’s next round of production projections are out June 12^th.

Comparisons for Brownfield states:

Arkansas: 4.64 million bushels, compared to 4.76 million in 2024; Average Yield: 58 bushels per acre, compared to 58 a year ago; Harvested Area: 80,000 acres, compared to 85,000 last year

Illinois: 57.8 million bushels, compared to 60.2 million in 2024; Average Yield: 85 bushels per acre, compared to 86 a year ago; Harvested Area: 680,000 acres, compared to 700,000 last year

Indiana: 21.5 million bushels, compared to 21.36 million in 2024; Average Yield: 86 bushels per acre, compared to 89 a year ago; Harvested Area: 250,000 acres, compared to 240,000 last year

Kansas: 345 million bushels, compared to 307.45 million in 2024; Average Yield: 50 bushels per acre, compared to 43 a year ago; Harvested Area: 6.9 million acres, compared to 7.15 million last year

Kentucky: 29.465 million bushels, compared to 29.25 million in 2024; Average Yield: 83 bushels per acre, compared to 75 a year ago; Harvested Area: 355,000 acres, compared to 390,000 last year

Michigan: 42.63 million bushels, compared to 32.625 million in 2024; Average Yield: 87 bushels per acre, unchanged from a year ago; Harvested Area: 490,000 acres, compared to 375,000 last year

Missouri: 31.95 million bushels, compared to 36 million in 2024; Average Yield: 71 bushels per acre, compared to 75 a year ago; Harvested Area: 450,000 acres, compared to 480,000 last year

Nebraska: 32.3 million bushels, compared to 47.84 million in 2024; Average Yield: 38 bushels per acre, compared to 52 a year ago; Harvested Area: 850,000 acres, compared to 920,000 last year

Ohio: 42 bushels per acre, compared to 39.525 million in 2024; Average Yield: 84 bushels per acre, compared to 85 a year ago; Harvested Area: 500,000 acres, compared to 465,000 last year

South Dakota: 34.3 million bushels, compared to 47.88 million in 2024; Average Yield: 49 bushels per acre, compared to 63 a year ago; Harvested Area: 700,000 acres, compared to 760,000 last year

Tennessee: 20.625 million bushels, compared to 24 million in 2024; Average Yield: 75 bushels per acre, unchanged from a year ago; Harvested Area: 275,000 acres, compared to 320,000 last year

Wisconsin: 19.25 million bushels, compared to 18.04 million in 2024; Average Yield: 77 bushels per acre, compared to 82 a year ago; Harvested Area: 250,000 acres, compared to 220,000 last year